Urban-Rural Disparities for COVID-19: Evidence from 10 Countries and Areas in the Western Pacific

Table 1

Changes in relative mobility and time-varying reproduction number during social distancing (SD) or community-wide stay-at-home (SH) orders.


City/state	Intervention		Changes in mobility	Time-varying
City/state	Intervention		Median (range)	Start^# (95% CrI)	End (95% CrI)

Hong Kong	SD	3/29–5/07	−0.02 (−0.27, +0.20)	1.72 (1.60–1.83)	1.10 (0.98–1.22)
Seoul	SD	3/21–4/19	−0.05 (−0.16, +0.08)	1.61 (1.47–1.74)	0.93 (0.81–1.06)
Tokyo	SD	4/08–5/25	−0.34 (−0.61, −0.07)	1.45 (1.37–1.52)	0.80 (0.72–0.89)
Victoria	SH	3/31–5/12	−0.39 (−0.73, −0.11)	1.41 (1.32–1.52)	1.19 (1.07–1.32)
Kuala Lumpur	SH	3/18–5/03	−0.67 (−0.72, −0.33)	2.01 (1.88–2.14)	1.12 (1.03–1.21)
Manila	SH	3/15–5/15	−0.69 (−0.79, −0.30)	2.50 (2.35–2.66)	1.08 (1.03–1.13)

Changes in mobility relative to a baseline (e.g., -0.02 indicates 2% reduction in mobility from February 2020). ^# estimate for (or closest to) the first day of the intervention.